Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.017741 0.019873 0.022011 0.024307 0.026699 0.029111 0.031722
2025-02-16 0.013579 0.016923 0.020413 0.024290 0.028448 0.032746 0.037501
2025-02-23 0.010720 0.014779 0.019170 0.024185 0.029682 0.035464 0.041955
2025-03-02 0.008489 0.012985 0.018023 0.023919 0.030502 0.037526 0.045500
2025-03-09 0.006804 0.011592 0.017144 0.023789 0.031326 0.039461 0.048779
2025-03-16 0.005157 0.010037 0.015928 0.023148 0.031470 0.040554 0.051049
2025-03-23 0.004144 0.009148 0.015408 0.023231 0.032361 0.042412 0.054098
2025-03-30 0.003097 0.008067 0.014562 0.022858 0.032671 0.043571 0.056323
2025-04-06 0.002114 0.006907 0.013522 0.022182 0.032575 0.044225 0.057944
2025-04-13 0.001170 0.005569 0.012136 0.021005 0.031831 0.044096 0.058644
2025-04-20 0.000864 0.005244 0.012075 0.021444 0.032974 0.046097 0.061716
2025-04-27 0.000370 0.004320 0.011104 0.020685 0.032650 0.046387 0.062828
2025-05-04 0.000024 0.003269 0.009925 0.019727 0.032206 0.046690 0.064149
2025-05-11 NaN 0.002791 0.009584 0.019882 0.033155 0.048664 0.067440
2025-05-18 NaN 0.002272 0.009102 0.019811 0.033804 0.050272 0.070301
2025-05-25 NaN 0.001755 0.008528 0.019571 0.034211 0.051572 0.072785
2025-06-01 NaN 0.001349 0.008069 0.019452 0.034744 0.052998 0.075393
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000869 0.007319 0.018863 0.034648 0.053651 0.077083
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000639 0.007042 0.018939 0.035385 0.055286 0.079898
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000363 0.006510 0.018597 0.035558 0.056224 0.081885
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000124 0.005831 0.017978 0.035342 0.056670 0.083279
2025-07-06 NaN NaN 0.004912 0.016902 0.034480 0.056304 0.083694
2025-07-13 NaN NaN 0.004903 0.017303 0.035587 0.058339 0.086933